Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 10.137078 11.455888 12.973162 14.869773 17.208895 20.043190 23.807848
2024-12-15 8.150420 9.807726 11.912057 14.863653 19.046255 25.025678 34.796025
2024-12-22 7.001796 8.755962 11.126184 14.717269 20.340436 29.494166 47.458436
2024-12-29 6.424384 8.294742 10.958905 15.281213 22.714909 36.519725 69.902433
2025-01-05 5.708954 7.514638 10.171333 14.672924 22.912910 39.714507 87.657436
2025-01-12 5.122193 6.840081 9.430118 13.968507 22.699416 41.953580 105.937796
2025-01-19 4.695005 6.352288 8.907624 13.528066 22.852834 45.106624 132.645772
2025-01-26 4.413786 6.055081 8.647053 13.496670 23.823449 50.870161 183.788595
2025-02-02 4.382428 6.138890 9.015860 14.694627 27.892914 68.588572 391.221384
2025-02-09 4.272009 6.082055 9.133199 15.422599 31.167166 87.663984 910.275490
2025-02-16 4.076460 5.866033 8.940906 15.468910 32.689950 102.054194 2068.176321
2025-02-23 3.962909 5.776571 8.966111 15.989623 35.806076 129.516167 15255.675171
2025-03-02 3.720260 5.467834 8.587643 15.624748 36.407353 147.011115 NaN
2025-03-09 3.529711 5.239114 8.346295 15.563472 38.136775 179.234678 NaN
2025-03-16 3.349661 5.013552 8.084917 15.402735 39.497353 215.856015 NaN
2025-03-23 3.262218 4.944781 8.124437 16.006147 44.205282 320.076365 NaN
2025-03-30 3.068939 4.669267 7.714776 15.354969 43.408709 347.183534 NaN
2025-04-06 2.883763 4.397532 7.290640 14.602024 41.884248 357.491018 NaN
2025-04-13 2.738447 4.190964 6.985812 14.131861 41.497264 395.552828 NaN
2025-04-20 2.641590 4.068291 6.846300 14.098364 43.207960 514.137084 NaN
2025-04-27 2.652764 4.147819 7.144007 15.378184 52.728606 1345.651468 NaN
2025-05-04 2.621506 4.143901 7.259565 16.157596 60.648777 4131.150671 NaN
2025-05-11 2.543449 4.043959 7.149611 16.207222 64.086297 11052.348915 NaN